MOUNTAIN VIEW, California – An inflection point is coming in the next six to twelve months for the multibillion dollar satellite megaconstellations, when it will become apparent which ones will succeed and which ones “will take a pause or exit,” Chris Baugh, Northern Sky Research president, said Oct. 9 at the Satellite Innovation 2019 conference.
New communications constellations being built by Amazon, LeoSat, OneWeb, SES, SpaceX and Telesat are in early phases of development. Firms are conducting research and development or starting to launch satellites but they have not yet reached the so-called Valley of Death, where products and services often languish or die.
“We’re in this early phase and we haven’t hit that chasm yet,” Baugh said. “We haven’t seen constellations drop out of the market yet. They’re still clicking along for better or worse.”
There are enormous variations in the size of the proposed constellations and the value of individual satellites. Amazon and SpaceX plan to launch thousands of satellites. In contrast, LeoSat and Telesat have announced plans for 84 and 300 satellites, respectively, but their individual satellites will be more expensive than the ones in the enormous constellations, Baugh said.
With thousands of satellites in the queue, ...